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Derek Beyer

Member since August 2023
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On the desire to live in a cabin in the woodsThis Sewing Machine Powers AI · 25 Aug 2026
This sewing machine powers AIThis Sewing Machine Powers AI · 11 Aug 2026
No, we shouldn't return to the climate of the 18th centuryTerraform · 16 Jun 2025
It’s time for Thomas Jefferson's village-statesCity-State · 30 Mar 2025
Multi-country civilizations are good, actuallyCity-State · 23 Mar 2025

The big question seems to be: Good for whom, and in what sense? The countries involved? Their leaders? Their citizens? The world? Humanity? This framing helps clarify why the annexation question isn't straightforward.

I think there's likely a political equivalent to optimal currency area theory. Just as economic conditions determine whether a region benefits from sharing a currency, various factors might determine the ideal political unit size. There are cities, states, and empires that would be better off as something else due to their specific context and attributes, though I'm not certain that this would correlate directly with what would be best for their citizens. I can imagine an imperial Athens that provides better material conditions and a city-state Rome that makes better art. And this is almost certainly not the same as what's best for their leaders as they determine it.

Then, I suppose the question is how you determine that for any particular context. How do we know if the right move for the moment is to move toward empire or independence? That doesn't seem solvable without knowing the outcomes we desire and the values we use to constrain our answers, which again rely on knowing who we're answering for.

For what it's worth, the United States definitely has an optimal political area problem, but I don't think the solution is states-as-countries either. It's too big and diverse for one country and too connected for 50. Given a frictionless vacuum, I'd say there are about seven regions with sufficiently collective interests and shared culture to be countries. Even then, I think the ideal might be something like a looser confederation that maintains shared defense, currency, and free movement while allowing for more regional autonomy on other matters.

26 Mar 2025
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